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Title: Adaptation required to preserve future high-end river flood risk at present levels
Authors: Willner, S.N.Levermann, A.Zhao, F.Frieler, K.
Publishers Version:
Issue Date: 2018
Published in: Science Advances Vol. 4 (2018), No. 1
Publisher: Washington : American Association for the Advancement of Science (A A A S)
Abstract: Earth’s surface temperature will continue to rise for another 20 to 30 years even with the strongest carbon emission reduction currently considered. The associated changes in rainfall patterns can result in an increased flood risk worldwide. We compute the required increase in flood protection to keep high-end fluvial flood risk at present levels. The analysis is carried out worldwide for subnational administrative units. Most of the United States, Central Europe, and Northeast and West Africa, as well as large parts of India and Indonesia, require the strongest adaptation effort. More than half of the United States needs to at least double their protection within the next two decades. Thus, the need for adaptation to increased river flood is a global problem affecting industrialized regions as much as developing countries.
Keywords: Carbon; Developing countries; Emission control; Flood control; Carbon emission reductions; Central Europe; Flood protection; Global problems; Rainfall patterns; River floods; Surface temperatures; West Africa; Floods
DDC: 550
License: CC BY 4.0 Unported
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Appears in Collections:Umweltwissenschaften

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